XRP ETF inflows could exceed $8.3B by 2026, says Standard Chartered

By: bitcoin ethereum news|2025/05/02 15:45:01
0
Share
copy
NAV benchmarks for BTC and ETH ETFs underpin the forecast. SEC’s final deadline for XRP ETF approval is 12 October. Polymarket data shows a 79% chance of approval by year-end. Anticipation over an XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) is building in the crypto sector as analysts weigh up potential inflows, market impacts, and regulatory dynamics. While rumours and delays have shaped much of the recent conversation, data-driven forecasts from key institutions now offer a clearer picture. Standard Chartered Bank projects that a US-listed XRP spot ETF could attract between $4.4 billion and $8.3 billion in inflows within its first year, based on net asset value benchmarks seen in existing Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs. This projection, while optimistic, comes with caution from others in the market. Standard Chartered bases its projection on ETF benchmarks Standard Chartered’s head of digital assets research, Geoff Kendrick, said NAV-to-market-cap ratios from already approved US spot ETFs were used to model potential XRP ETF inflows. Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs currently show NAVs of around 6% and 3% of their respective market caps. Applying these ratios to XRP’s market capitalisation results in a $4.4 billion to $8.3 billion range. Kendrick highlighted data from Bitwise ETPs in Europe, where XRP, Solana, and Litecoin trade alongside BTC and ETH. He noted that altcoins account for a greater share of ETP NAV relative to their market caps, although this may reflect the lower number of products available for altcoins compared to Bitcoin and Ethereum. XRP price forecast revised amid ETF optimism Based on anticipated ETF inflows, Standard Chartered forecasts a significant XRP price increase. The bank expects XRP to rise to $5.50 by the end of 2025 and reach $8.00 by 2026. The target for 2029 is set at $12.25. This forecast assumes XRP ETF approval and a general continuation of growth in digital asset investment vehicles. For comparison, Kendrick noted that Bitcoin could reach $120,000 in Q2 2025, $200,000 by the end of the year, and $500,000 by 2028. XRP is expected to keep pace, albeit with lower overall adoption and inflation differences. XRP’s current inflation rate stands at 6%, compared to Bitcoin’s 0.8%. Bitfinex analysts issue cautious counterpoint Despite bullish projections, not all market observers are convinced that XRP ETFs would generate the same excitement as Bitcoin products. Analysts from crypto exchange Bitfinex argue that investor interest may be spread thin across a growing list of altcoin ETFs. As such, XRP might not see inflows comparable to Bitcoin, even if approved. Their caution reflects broader concerns about ETF market saturation and regulatory clarity. While Bitcoin enjoys legal clarity as a commodity, XRP has faced classification issues and legal disputes that may influence investor confidence. Timeline for XRP ETF approval remains uncertain Several financial firms, including Grayscale, WisdomTree, Bitwise, Canary, and 21Shares have filed for XRP ETFs with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Bitwise’s application was officially acknowledged on 18 February, setting a maximum deadline of 240 days, or 12 October, for a final decision. This mirrors the timeline applied to Bitcoin spot ETFs earlier in 2024. However, other altcoin ETF applications such as those for Solana and Litecoin could impact when an XRP decision is made. According to Kendrick, Litecoin may be prioritised given its similarity to Bitcoin and its historical treatment as a commodity. Polymarket data shows that as of now, the probability of XRP ETF approval by 31 July is 39%, rising to 79% by the end of the year. Analysts including Bloomberg’s Eric Balchunas suggest Litecoin could be the first among altcoins to secure approval, followed by HBAR and eventually XRP and Solana, which face unresolved security classification challenges. Source: https://coinjournal.net/news/xrp-etf-inflows-could-exceed-8-3-billion-by-2026-says-standard-chartered/

-- Price

--

You may also like

Circle CEO responds to OUSD's challenge: Stablecoins are a winner-takes-all business, and we will not slow down

OUSD was jointly launched by more than 140 giants, causing Circle's stock price to plummet in a single day. Circle's CEO personally wrote a response, clarifying USDC's moat from three aspects: network effects, liquidity, and regulation, and dismantling OUSD's three selling points of "free redemption...

Argentina vs Cape Verde: When a Record-Breaking Legend Meets an Unbreakable Underdog

WEEX exclusive pre-match analysis of Argentina vs Cape Verde, exploring Messi-led Argentina’s dominance and Cape Verde’s historic defensive breakout, with a breakdown of volatility, structure, and match dynamics.

How does Gate redo "buying and selling stocks" from the cryptocurrency world to the stock market?

The competition logic of exchanges has changed.

Former ByteDance employee's account: How I started with two Pinduoduo hard drives and made six times the profit with Seagate to achieve financial freedom?

A programmer from a big tech company bought hard drives on Pinduoduo and, following clues, managed to accurately capture the sixfold rising stock Seagate using the "finding daily anomalies + 13F institutional verification" framework, making a wild profit of $400,000 and achieving financial freedom.

Visa and Mastercard join 140 giants to launch a new stablecoin, but the impact on the market landscape may still be limited

As an important milestone event in the stablecoin landscape, OUSD is likely to change the existing stablecoin landscape and significantly increase the adoption rate of stablecoins in the global financial system.

WEEX Launches Depth Chart for Spot Trading

WEEX Spot now supports Depth Chart, helping users visualize buy and sell orders, spot liquidity walls, and understand market depth more clearly before placing trades.

Contents

Popular coins

Latest Crypto News

Read more
iconiconiconiconiconiconicon
Customer Support:@weikecs
Business Cooperation:@weikecs
Quant Trading & MM:bd@weex.com
VIP Program:support@weex.com